TO ANALYSE – Barometer of the Oscars, the powerful union of actors announced on Wednesday appointments that raise the chances of House of Gucci.
Hollywood Oscar pundits have lost their Latin. Barometer of the flagship ceremony of the American seventh art, the powerful union of actors (the SAG) thwarted all their forecasts by snubbing films and talents, whose appointments seemed acquired in advance, and by relaunching second knives like the farce House of Gucci. The account by Ridley Scott of the murder of Maurizio Gucci by his wife Patricia collects three chances of statuettes. Like The Power Of The Dog. But Jane Campion’s dark western collects only individual nominations.
The guild fired West Side Story. Steven Spielberg’s remake only lists one of his actresses Ariana DeBose in the Best Supporting Actor category, but forgets icon Rita Moreno and young shoot Rachel Zegler, who had just won a Golden Globe. The musical isn’t even in the best cast category which rightly or wrongly passes for the equivalent of the best picture statuette.
This category of group was full of surprises. Nothing for the dazzling poster heads of Dune (Timothée Chalamet, Rebecca Fergusson) or Cyrano (Peter Dinklage). Neither global recognition for the sprawling castings of The Power Of The Dog , Licorice Pizza Where Nightmare alley.
In this queen category of the best troop, the union retained the childhood memories of Kenneth Branagh Belfast , House of Gucci and the junky Italian accents of Adam Driver, Lady Gaga, Jared Leto and Al Pacino. Family frescoes The Williams method about the father of tennis legends Venus and Serena and CODA, American remake of The Aries family where many misunderstood actors shine will try to overshadow them on February 27. Like the satire and big hits of Netflix Don’t Look Up narrowly drafted. Adam McKay’s cry of alarm fails to land individual recognition for Leonardo DiCaprio, Jennifer Lawrence or Meryl Streep!
Kristen Stewart condemned to the exploit
The SAG, which brings together nearly 160,000 actors from series, commercials and cinema, puppeteers, journalist presenters, dancers, etc., is considered one of the most crucial guilds to be won over on the road to the Oscars. In particular to ensure an appointment, on February 8, in the sections best supporting roles and leading roles. The branch of actors is indeed the one that has the most weight and members in the Academy of Oscars. The union often only has one or two different appointments with the Academy.
Two committees (feature films and series) of 2000 members of the SAG, chosen at random, chose the lucky ones whose name was mentioned this Wednesday. But this year, their ax fell on a composition and an actress who were unanimous. Praised by the majority of critical associations, Kristen Stewart, Princess Diana pushed to the limits of paranoia in Spencer, was ousted in favor of Jennifer Hudson (Respect), Nicole Kidman (Being The Ricardos and acclaimed at the Golden Globes), Jessica Chastain (Tammy Fayes eyes), Olivia Colman (The Lost Daughter) and Lady Gaga (House of Gucci).
Rest assured fans of Kristen Stewart, it is possible to win an Oscar without being nominated for the SAG awards, this is what happened to Nicole Kidman for The Hours in 2003. But this is extremely rare. However, perhaps the internationalization of the American Academy of Cinema will accentuate the differences between the union and the Oscars.
In men, less astonishment. The usual suspects are: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Power of the Dog), Andrew Garfield (Tick, Tick… Boom!), Will Smith (King Richard, winner at Sunday’s Golden Globe), Denzel Washington (The Tragedy of Macbeth) and Javier Bardem (Being the Ricardos).
The most competitive categories are in supporting roles. How to decide between Caitriona Balfe (the only survivor of Belfast to everyone’s surprise), Cate Blanchett (Nightmare Alley), Ariana DeBose (West Side Story), Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
and Ruth Negga (Chiaroscuro) who is making a comeback? In men, experienced Ben Affleck (The Tender Bar), Bradley Cooper (Licorice Pizza), Troy Kotsur (CODA), Jared Leto (House of Gucci) will face Kodi Smit-McPhee (The Power of the Dog).
Squid Game goes down in history
In the small screens sections, the SAG rolled out the red carpet at Squid Game, the first non-English-speaking series to be able to claim the title of best soap opera. South Korean cardboard will have to get rid of Succession (5 nominations), modern western Yellowstone with Kevin Costner, from the Scarlet maid and of The Morning Show. In comedy, the hegemony of Ted lasso (5 nominations too) will be contested by the satirical biopic The Great, Only Murders In The Building, Hacks and The Kominsky Method.
In the mini-series bubble, the thriller of deep America Mare Of Easttown, worn by an unrecognizable Kate Winslet, does not leave much room for the teams of Dopesick and of Maid. Yet overwhelming in the HBO remake Scenes of married life, Jessica Chastain fails to collect a double nomination. But his partner Oscar Isaac saves the honor of this heartbreaking portrait of a couple.